Interview: NewsBTC With Petr Belousov, CEO of Confideal

Most of the applications of the Blockchain technology is driven by the smart contracts, which have the capability of automating decision making and execution in most of the settings. As most of the big names across industries pour money into creating and implementing these smart contracts into their organization’s operations and workflow, smaller players with … Continue reading Interview: NewsBTC With Petr Belousov, CEO of Confideal

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Trade ideas thread – Wednesday 1 November 2017

Welcome to November! Let’s get it started – any charts, technical analysis, trade ideas, thoughts, views, ForexLive traders would like to share and discuss with fellow ForexLive traders, please do so:        

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“You Get Nothing” – World’s Largest Insurer Warns US Stocks Offer “No Returns” For The Next Decade

There will be “almost no prospective returns” from U.S. stocks over the next decade because the market is fully valued following years of gains, according to the global strategist at Allianz Global Investors, which manages $569 billion.

As Bloomberg reports, low interest rates and bond purchases by central banks have left cash and many other asset classes “significantly mispriced,” Neil Dwane said Monday as part of a panel discussion on long-term investing at the Toronto Global Forum.

“The U.S. is fully valued,” said Dwane, whose firm is owned by Munich-based insurance giant Allianz SE.

 

“There’s almost no prospective returns for the next 10 years from the U.S. equity market, and therefore investors have to look into Asia or Europe where valuations are significantly lower.”

 

With interest rates close to zero around the world and bond markets “manipulated by central banks,” it’s difficult to assess risk and return, he added.

 

Many investors have turned to high-yield bonds or emerging markets for income, which raises risks.

Dwane is not alone of course in this ominous view, as Bloomberg notes, Jim Keohane, chief executive officer of the Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan, agreed that it’s not a good time to be buying assets of nearly any stripe.

“Right now assets are very expensive,” said Keohane, whose firm manages more than C$70 billion ($54 billion).

 

“We need to be patient, to wait for better opportunities. Whenever the next crisis comes, assets are going to be on sale. You can buy them a lot cheaper than you can buy them today, but you have to have patience to be able to do that.”

And finally, John Hussman, of Hussman Funds, warned that a century of reliable valuation evidence indicates that the S&P 500 is likely to experience an outright loss, including dividends, over the coming 10-12 year horizon, and we presently estimate likely interim losses on the order of -60% or more.

A rate of return of even 1% in cash is a much more desirable option than investors may imagine.

For a while, Bernie Madoff’s investors felt great about their impressive “returns.” For a while, investors in dot-com stocks felt the same. For a while, investors in mortgage bonds felt the same. But when investors focus on returns rather than the very long-term structure, stability, and even existence of the underlying cash flows, terrible things can happen.

All that’s required to get the snowball rolling is the creeping recognition that there’s no “there” there.

In response to the delusion that low interest rates “justify” virtually any level of market valuation, regardless of the growth rate of the underlying cash flows, the speculation of recent years has created a situation where there is effectively no way out for investors in aggregate. Every security that is issued must be held by someone until it is retired.

When one investor sells a share, it simply means that another investor buys it. The only question is who will hold the bag.

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США оштрафовали Exxon Mobil за вредные выбросы

Американские власти оштрафовали корпорацию Exxon Mobil на 2,5 миллиона долларов за вредные выбросы на 8 различных предприятиях и обязали потратить 300 миллионов долларов на установку очистных фильтров и средств контроля за ними.

Запись США оштрафовали Exxon Mobil за вредные выбросы впервые появилась Валют РФ.

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Huge Crude Draw Pushes Oil Prices Even Higher

The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a huge draw of 5.087 million barrels in United States crude oil inventories, largely in line with an S&P Platts’ survey of analysts that expected inventories would draw down by 1.4 million barrels for the week ending October 27—continuing the extended drawdown in recent weeks. Gasoline inventories, according to the API, saw a major draw of 7.697 million barrels for the week ending October 27, against an expectation of a much more modest draw of 1.7 million barrels.  Other analysts,…

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Huge Crude Draw Pushes Oil Prices Even Higher

The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a huge draw of 5.087 million barrels in United States crude oil inventories, largely in line with an S&P Platts’ survey of analysts that expected inventories would draw down by 1.4 million barrels for the week ending October 27—continuing the extended drawdown in recent weeks. Gasoline inventories, according to the API, saw a major draw of 7.697 million barrels for the week ending October 27, against an expectation of a much more modest draw of 1.7 million barrels.  Other analysts,…

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Huge Crude Draw Pushes Oil Prices Even Higher

The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a huge draw of 5.087 million barrels in United States crude oil inventories, largely in line with an S&P Platts’ survey of analysts that expected inventories would draw down by 1.4 million barrels for the…

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Huge Crude Draw Pushes Oil Prices Even Higher

The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a huge draw of 5.087 million barrels in United States crude oil inventories, largely in line with an S&P Platts’ survey of analysts that expected inventories would draw down by 1.4 million barrels for the week ending October 27—continuing the extended drawdown in recent weeks. Gasoline inventories, according to the API, saw a major draw of 7.697 million barrels for the week ending October 27, against an expectation of a much more modest draw of 1.7 million barrels.  Other analysts,…

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Bahrain imposes entry visas on Qatari nationals, residents

Bahrain will impose entry visas on Qatari nationals and residents, it said on Tuesday, in what it called a security measure. Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt cut diplomatic, transport and trade ties with Qatar in June, accusing it of financing terrorism. Doha denies that and says the boycott is an attempt to rein in its support for reform. “The new measures aim at preventing harming the security and stability of the kingdom of Bahrain particularly in light of the latest repercussions of the crisis with Qatar”, said a statement on official news agency BNA. Citizens from the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council countries are supposed to be able to travel within the GCC carrying only an identity card. Bahrain’s visa requirements […]

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